The live-action adaptation of Disney's popular animated film Moana is set to debut this weekend, but projected opening weekend box office numbers have reportedly decreased significantly. Despite the franchise's popularity, which includes the 2016 animated film grossing $687.2 million and the 2024 sequel earning over $1 billion, excitement for the new movie appears muted.
This live-action version, a direct adaptation of the original animated feature has faced criticism from audiences reportedly fatigued by what they perceive as an endless stream of remakes. Further negativity has focused on Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson's portrayal of Maui, specifically his largely unconvincing muscle suit and wig. Reviews and first reactions are expected following tonight's premiere.
According to reports from @GlobalBoxOffice via Toonado.com, Moana's opening weekend estimates have fallen from an initial $85 million to between $45 million and $60 million. With a reported production budget of $200 million, the outlet suggests the film is "on track to become one of Disney's biggest bombs." The original Moana opened with $56.5 million in 2016, while the 2024 sequel significantly outperformed expectations with $139.7 million over its opening weekend.
Potential for "Moana 3" Discussed
Following a string of box office disappointments and other industry setbacks, Johnson may have been anticipating a success with Moana, similar to the animated sequel. However, audience weariness with Disney live-action remakes and a perceived decline in Johnson's popularity, even among wrestling fans, could impact the film's performance. Regardless of this weekend's box office outcome, there are discussions about a potential animated Moana 3.
Yes, we have talked about 'Moana 3,' yes. But first, live-action 'Moana,' we’ll let that come out first. We have [the] amazing Jared Bush and Dana Ledoux Miller, who have been our writers. They will pen 'Moana 3.'
The live-action Moana centers on Moana answering the Ocean's call and embarking on a journey with the demigod Maui to restore prosperity to her people. The cast includes Dwayne Johnson, Catherine Laga'aia, Rena Owen, John Tui, Frankie Adams, and Jemaine Clement. The film is directed by Thomas Kail, produced by Johnson, Beau Flynn, Dany Garcia, Hiram Garcia, and Lin-Manuel Miranda, and executive produced by Scott Sheldon, Charles Newirth, Kail, and Auli'i Cravalho. The movie features original songs by Lin-Manuel Miranda, Opetaia Foaʻi, and Mark Mancina, with Mancina also composing the score. Moana is scheduled to be released in theaters on July 10, 2026.
